Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by...?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is March 31, 2027 at 38.0%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 16.0%. $4K traded across 2 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
GermanyPoliticsElectionsSaxony-AnhaltWorld Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 38.0% | +0.5 |
| December 31, 2026 | 16.0% | +2.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Saxony-Anhalt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. Dissolution by resolution of the Landtag, dissolution following a failure to elect a Minister-President, and any other means of dissolution provided for by the Constitution of the State of Saxony-Anhalt all qualify. An announcement of an intention to seek dissolution, a failed vote on dissolution, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saxony-Anhalt and the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Saxony-Anhalt by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. Dissolution by resolution of the Landtag, dissolution following a failure to elect a Minister-President, and any other means of dissolution provided for by the Constitution of the State of Saxony-Anhalt all qualify. An announcement of an intention to seek dissolution, a failed vote on dissolution, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saxony-Anhalt and the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by...?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, March 31, 2027 is the favorite at 38.0%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 16.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on April 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $4K in total and $0 in the last 24 hours, with about $759 of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.