Next President of Germany?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Ilse Aigner at 59.0%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $15K traded across 34 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
GermanyPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Ilse Aigner | 59.0% | 0.0 |
| Person A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Julia Klöckner | 16.7% | -0.2 |
| Karin Prien | 15.2% | -1.3 |
| Angela Merkel | 8.6% | -1.5 |
| Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer | 3.4% | -0.1 |
| Boris Rhein | 2.9% | +0.8 |
| Udo Di Fabio | 1.8% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Germany is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on January 30, 2027. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Germany by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Germany. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Next President of Germany?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Ilse Aigner is the favorite at 59.0%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 30, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $15K in total and $466 in the last 24 hours, with about $20K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.