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Home / Markets / Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Resolved market scorecard

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.9%; a week before, 99.4%. $4.4M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved July 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.9%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.4%
30 days before: 98.7%

Volume

$4.4M
1 outcome

putinGeopoliticsWorldPoliticsUkraine

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$4.4M
NoWON$4.4M

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%12-1803-2507-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?" resolve?
It resolved No around June 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.9% one day before close, 99.4% one week before and 98.7% one month before.
How much was traded?
$4.4M across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.