Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 1.0-2.0% at 69.0%, ahead of 0-1.0% at 31.3%. $90K traded across 9 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Macro IndicatorsGDPEconomyEuropeEuro Area
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0-2.0% | 69.0% | 0.0 |
| 0-1.0% | 31.3% | -0.2 |
| <0% | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| 2.0-3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 3.0-4.0% | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 4.0-5.0% | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 5.0-6.0% | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 6.0-7.0% | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| 7.0%+ | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 1.0-2.0% is the favorite at 69.0%, followed by 0-1.0% at 31.3%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on February 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $90K in total and $471 in the last 24 hours, with about $44K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.