Resolved market scorecard
Largest Company end of September?: result and scorecard
Resolved NVIDIA. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 99.1%. $2.4M traded in total.
Result
NVIDIA
resolved September 30, 2026
Price 1 day before
99.8%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
99.1%
30 days before: 91.5%
Volume
$2.4M
25 outcomes
TechEconomyFinanceBig TechBusiness
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| NVIDIA | WON |
| Apple | LOST |
| Alphabet | LOST |
| Amazon | LOST |
| Microsoft | LOST |
| Tesla | LOST |
| Saudi Aramco | LOST |
| SpaceX | LOST |
| Broadcom | LOST |
| Company F | LOST |
| Company G | LOST |
| Company H | LOST |
| Company I | LOST |
| Company J | LOST |
| Company K | LOST |
| Company L | LOST |
| Company M | LOST |
| Company N | LOST |
| Company O | LOST |
| Company P | LOST |
| Company Q | LOST |
| Company R | LOST |
| Company S | LOST |
| Company T | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
NVIDIAAppleAlphabetAmazon
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Largest Company end of September?" resolve?
- It resolved NVIDIA around October 1, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.1% one week before and 91.5% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $2.4M across 25 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Largest Company end of December 2026?GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?AI bubble burst by...?Largest Company end of November 2026?Which company has best AI model end of 2026?GPT Astra 6.1+ released on...?Which company has the best AI model end of November?Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?All live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.