LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Resolved market scorecard

Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?: result and scorecard

Resolved 0.7-0.9%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 31.0%; a week before, 38.0%. $30K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

0.7-0.9%
resolved July 30, 2026

Price 1 day before

31.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

38.0%
30 days before: 21.5%

Volume

$30K
6 outcomes

GDPEconomyGermanyEconomic PolicyMacro Indicators

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
0.7-0.9%WON$7K
0.1-0.3%LOST$17K
0.4-0.6%LOST$3K
≤0.0%LOST$1K
1.0-1.2%LOST$767
1.3%+LOST$614

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-0506-1707-30
0.7-0.9%0.1-0.3%0.4-0.6%≤0.0%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 31% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q2 of 2026, expected to be released on July 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?" resolve?
It resolved 0.7-0.9% around July 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 31.0% one day before close, 38.0% one week before and 21.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$30K across 6 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.