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Home / Markets / Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
Resolved market scorecard

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026: result and scorecard

Resolved 1.2-1.5%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 23.2%; a week before, 22.1%. $89K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

1.2-1.5%
resolved October 30, 2026

Price 1 day before

23.2%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

22.1%
30 days before: 24.7%

Volume

$89K
7 outcomes

GDPEconomyEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsRecurring

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
1.2-1.5%WON$18K
0.8-1.1%LOST$51K
0.4-0.7%LOST$11K
1.6-1.9%LOST$3K
0.0-0.3%LOST$2K
<0.0%LOST$2K
2.0%+LOST$2K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%08-0109-1510-30
1.2-1.5%0.8-1.1%0.4-0.7%1.6-1.9%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 23% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026" resolve?
It resolved 1.2-1.5% around October 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 23.2% one day before close, 22.1% one week before and 24.7% one month before.
How much was traded?
$89K across 7 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.