LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?
Live market data

CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is June 30, 2027 at 39.0%, ahead of March 31, 2027 at 30.5%. $9K traded across 3 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

39.0%
June 30, 2027 · Trade →

24h move

+0.5
pts · 7d -22.5

Volume

$9K
24h $1 · liquidity $2K

Closes

July 1, 2027
237 days left

TechEconomyFinanceBusinessCorporate Financials

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
June 30, 202739.0% +0.5-22.5$4K4.0¢
March 31, 202730.5% 0.0+0.5$4K1.0¢
December 31, 202621.5% +0.5-4.5$1K3.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:00 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-2010-2811-06
June 30, 2027March 31, 2027December 31, 2026

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc., or its rating on CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." "Long-term credit rating" means S&P Global Ratings' long-term issuer credit rating, or Moody's Ratings' corporate family rating or long-term issuer rating, on CoreWeave, Inc. A downgrade of CoreWeave, Inc.'s senior unsecured debt by either agency will qualify, even if that agency's long-term credit rating for CoreWeave, Inc. is unchanged. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade) will not qualify. As of market creation, CoreWeave, Inc. is rated B+ by S&P Global Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865295/) and Ba3 by Moody's Ratings (https://cbonds.com/news/3865521/), both below investment grade. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying June 30, 2027 at 39% risks 39¢ to win 61¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by...?"?
As of November 6, 2026, June 30, 2027 is the favorite at 39.0%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 30.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on July 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$9K in total and $1 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.