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Home / Markets / Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impe
Resolved market scorecard

Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 99.1%. $59K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved January 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.8%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.1%
30 days before: 98.5%

Volume

$59K
1 outcome

BrazilPoliticsWorldCourts

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$59K
NoWON$59K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-1908-1001-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the the Federal Senate (Senado Federal) votes to proceed with any impeachment of Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil Alexandre de Moraes by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the first such vote the Senate undertakes (e.g., if the Federal Senate decides to vote on the impeachment of Alexandre de Moraes and it fails to pass, this market will resolve to "No"). This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as the Senate successfully votes to proceed with this impeachment, regardless of the impeachment's outcome. If it becomes impossible to impeach Alexandre de Moraes while he is in his role as Minister (e.g., he resigns) and the "Yes" condition has not yet been met, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?" resolve?
It resolved No around December 31, 2025.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 99.1% one week before and 98.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$59K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.