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Home / Markets / Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
Resolved market scorecard

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?: result and scorecard

Resolved 0.3%–0.5%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 70.5%; a week before, 63.5%. $66K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

0.3%–0.5%
resolved September 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

70.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

63.5%
30 days before: 45.9%

Volume

$66K
7 outcomes

GDPBrazilEconomy

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
0.3%–0.5%WON$31K
0.6%–0.8%LOST$17K
0.9%–1.1%LOST$7K
0.0%–0.2%LOST$4K
1.2%–1.4%LOST$3K
<0.0%LOST$2K
≥1.5%LOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-0407-1809-01
0.3%–0.5%0.6%–0.8%0.9%–1.1%0.0%–0.2%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 71% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html

Frequently asked questions

How did "Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?" resolve?
It resolved 0.3%–0.5% around September 1, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 70.5% one day before close, 63.5% one week before and 45.9% one month before.
How much was traded?
$66K across 7 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.