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Resolved market scorecard

2nd Largest Company end of July?: result and scorecard

Resolved Apple. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 78.5%; a week before, 68.0%. $944K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Apple
resolved July 31, 2026

Price 1 day before

78.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

68.0%
30 days before: 39.5%

Volume

$944K
29 outcomes

TechEconomyFinanceBig TechBusiness

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
AppleWON$232K
NVIDIALOST$314K
AlphabetLOST$259K
TeslaLOST$54K
MicrosoftLOST$22K
Saudi AramcoLOST$22K
AmazonLOST$21K
BroadcomLOST$20K
Company ALOST$0
Company BLOST$0
Company CLOST$0
Company DLOST$0
Company ELOST$0
Company FLOST$0
Company GLOST$0
Company HLOST$0
Company ILOST$0
Company JLOST$0
Company KLOST$0
Company LLOST$0
Company MLOST$0
Company NLOST$0
Company OLOST$0
Company PLOST$0
Company QLOST$0
Company RLOST$0
Company SLOST$0
Company TLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%06-2507-1307-31
AppleNVIDIAAlphabetTesla
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 79% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "2nd Largest Company end of July?" resolve?
It resolved Apple around July 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 78.5% one day before close, 68.0% one week before and 39.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$944K across 29 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.