Every story, newest first — what happened, and what it did to the prices.
Matches through the lens of the lines that priced them.
Caesars cut Philadelphia from +1700 to +800, Kalshi's price doubled to 12%, and Polymarket moved five points. The fastest offseason reprice on the board, venue by venue.
Read → ⚾ MLB Futures · July 27, 2026Brewers +2500 to +1000 since May, Red Sox 100/1 to 25/1 in three weeks, and an Aug 3 deadline that can move a contender three lines in an afternoon.
Read → 🥊 Boxing · July 26, 2026The market closed -140 on a man with one fight in three years. Tszyu won 117-111 across the board and retired him. The move, the miss, and the method markets that got it right.
Read →What money on Polymarket and Kalshi is saying about the world.
June's $44.8B combined print is official, non-sports weekly volume just set an all-time high, and $197M is already down on the midterms. The money didn't leave — it changed subject.
Read → 🏛️ Regulation · July 26, 2026A third state injunction against Kalshi, a Supreme Court stay denied, Polymarket suing New Mexico, a proposed CFTC review rule and an August 1 Chrome extension ban. The full scorecard.
Read → 📈 Industry · July 24, 2026Kalshi's $30B month, Polymarket's $10.8B record, 3 million new users, and dollars traded on prediction markets passing sportsbook handle. The full scorecard.
Read →How the books, the exchanges and the regulators actually work.
Powerball at $668M cash-value math, Mega Millions' $800M Florida win, and the expected-value comparison lottery sites don't run.
Read → Explainer · EvergreenFixed-odds books versus order-book markets: margins, mechanics, and where the honest number lives.
Read → Case Study · July 2026Books said 16.9%, traders said 12.8% — and the convergence told us who was sharper. The method, documented live.
Read →One email a day: the sharpest lines, the biggest industry moves, and what prediction markets are pricing in. Free, forever.