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Home / Markets / Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Resolved market scorecard

Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?: result and scorecard

Resolved No. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.5%; a week before, 99.4%. $42K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No
resolved July 1, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.5%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

99.4%
30 days before: 89.0%

Volume

$42K
1 outcome

GeopoliticsPoliticsTurkeyerdogan

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesLOST$42K
NoWON$42K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%05-2506-1207-01
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?" resolve?
It resolved No around June 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.5% one day before close, 99.4% one week before and 89.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$42K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.