Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is ↑6.5 at 48.0%, ahead of ↑5.75 at 37.5%. $4K traded across 11 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| ↑6.5 | 48.0% | +8.5 |
| ↑5.75 | 37.5% | +1.0 |
| ↑6 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
| ↑6.25 | 28.5% | 0.0 |
| ↓4.5 | 12.5% | -0.5 |
| ↑6.75 | 9.0% | 0.0 |
| ↑7.25 | 8.8% | -4.8 |
| ↑7 | 8.4% | 0.0 |
| ↓4.25 | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| ↓4 | 3.5% | -4.5 |
| ↓3.75 | 3.1% | -4.5 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/BRL hourly candle for an hour between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/BRL hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/BRL Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-brl-chart).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, ↑6.5 is the favorite at 48.0%, followed by ↑5.75 at 37.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $4K in total and $87 in the last 24 hours, with about $5K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.