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Home / Markets / Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Resolved market scorecard

Will Putin visit China by May 31?: result and scorecard

Resolved Yes. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 100.0%; a week before, 88.0%. $923K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Yes
resolved May 20, 2026

Price 1 day before

100.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

88.0%
30 days before: 91.0%

Volume

$923K
1 outcome

putinmeetGeopoliticsRussiaXi

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
YesWON$923K
NoLOST$923K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%04-0204-2605-20
Yes
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Will Putin visit China by May 31?" resolve?
It resolved Yes around May 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 100.0% one day before close, 88.0% one week before and 91.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$923K across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.