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Home / Markets / Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?
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Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 22.5% (-7.5 pts in 24h). $6K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

22.5%
No 77.5% · Trade →

24h move

-7.5
pts · 7d -19.0

Volume

$6K
24h $291 · liquidity $440

Closes

January 1, 2028
421 days left

UFCmmaSportsCombat Sports

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes22.5% -7.5-19.0$6K5.0¢
No77.5% +7.5+19.0$6K–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%09-2510-1611-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Islam Makhachev officially announces his retirement from the UFC by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Islam Makhachev is retiring from the UFC. The announcement must come from Islam Makhachev himself or his official representatives. An announcement that Makhachev is leaving the UFC while continuing to compete professionally in mixed martial arts or another combat sport will qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately. An announcement that Makhachev intends to retire at an unspecified future date, or after a specified number of additional bouts, will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Islam Makhachev; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 23% risks 23¢ to win 78¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 22.5% and No at 77.5%, on $6K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$6K in total and $291 in the last 24 hours, with about $440 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.