UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Main Card): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith · Elijah Smith at 72.5%, ahead of Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith · Davey Grant at 27.5%. $18K traded across 19 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith moneyline | Davey Grant 27.5% | Elijah Smith 72.5% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? ufc go the distance | Yes 41.5% | No 58.5% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 42.0% | No 58.0% |
| Grant to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 28.5% | No 71.5% |
| Smith to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 36.5% | No 63.5% |
| Fight won by submission? ufc method of victory | Yes 30.0% | No 70.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds totals | Over 71.0% | Under 29.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds totals | Over 61.0% | Under 39.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds totals | Over 49.5% | Under 50.5% |
| Fight won by decision? ufc method of finish | Yes 43.0% | No 57.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? ufc round of finish | Yes 25.0% | No 75.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? ufc round of finish | Yes 44.0% | No 56.0% |
| Grant in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Grant in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Grant in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Smith in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 31.0% | No 69.0% |
| Smith in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 29.5% | No 70.5% |
| Smith in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 27.0% | No 73.0% |
| Decision or Draw ufc round of victory | Yes 43.0% | No 57.0% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Elijah Smith at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Elijah Smith" if Elijah Smith is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Main Card)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Davey Grant vs. Elijah Smith · Elijah Smith is the favorite at 72.5%, followed by O/U 0.5 Rounds · Over at 71.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $18K in total and $16K in the last 24 hours, with about $80K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.