UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon (Featherweight, Prelims): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon · Austin Bashi at 82.5%, ahead of Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon · Carlos Calderon at 17.5%. $2K traded across 19 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon moneyline | Austin Bashi 82.5% | Carlos Calderon 17.5% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? ufc go the distance | Yes 50.5% | No 49.5% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Bashi to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Calderon to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Fight won by submission? ufc method of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds totals | Over 58.5% | Under 41.5% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds totals | Over 59.0% | Under 41.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds totals | Over 34.5% | Under 65.5% |
| Fight won by decision? ufc method of finish | Yes 49.5% | No 50.5% |
| Ends before Round 2? ufc round of finish | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? ufc round of finish | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Bashi in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Bashi in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Bashi in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Calderon in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Calderon in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Calderon in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
| Decision or Draw ufc round of victory | Yes 50.0% | No 50.0% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Austin Bashi" if Austin Bashi is officially declared the winner of the fight against Carlos Calderon at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Carlos Calderon" if Carlos Calderon is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon (Featherweight, Prelims)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Austin Bashi vs. Carlos Calderon · Austin Bashi is the favorite at 82.5%, followed by O/U 2.5 Rounds · Under at 65.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $2K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $9K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.