UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims): live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli · Marcos Degli at 68.5%, ahead of Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli · Mitch Raposo at 31.5%. $13K traded across 19 markets.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
Markets for this game
| Market | Side A | Side B |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli moneyline | Mitch Raposo 31.5% | Marcos Degli 68.5% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? ufc go the distance | Yes 47.0% | No 53.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 38.5% | No 61.5% |
| Raposo to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 29.0% | No 71.0% |
| Degli to win by KO/TKO? ufc method of victory | Yes 34.0% | No 66.0% |
| Fight won by submission? ufc method of victory | Yes 31.5% | No 68.5% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds totals | Over 71.5% | Under 28.5% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds totals | Over 62.5% | Under 37.5% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds totals | Over 53.5% | Under 46.5% |
| Fight won by decision? ufc method of finish | Yes 46.0% | No 54.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? ufc round of finish | Yes 23.0% | No 77.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? ufc round of finish | Yes 40.0% | No 60.0% |
| Raposo in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Raposo in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Raposo in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 26.5% | No 73.5% |
| Degli in Round 1 ufc round of victory | Yes 30.0% | No 70.0% |
| Degli in Round 2 ufc round of victory | Yes 28.0% | No 72.0% |
| Degli in Round 3 ufc round of victory | Yes 27.0% | No 73.0% |
| Decision or Draw ufc round of victory | Yes 46.0% | No 54.0% |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcos Degli at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcos Degli" if Marcos Degli is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Mitch Raposo and Marcos Degli at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. "Under 0.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 21, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli (Flyweight, Prelims)"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli · Marcos Degli is the favorite at 68.5%, followed by Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli · Marcos Degli at 68.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 8, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $13K in total and $12K in the last 24 hours, with about $68K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.