Get the brief
LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Live market data

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?: live odds and probabilities

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 12.7% (0.0 pts in 24h). $354K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

12.7%
No 87.3% · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d +5.1

Volume

$354K
24h $171 · liquidity $25K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

GazaIsraelGeopoliticsMiddle East

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Yes12.7% 0.0+5.1$354K1.0¢
No87.3% 0.0-5.1$354K–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%11-0605-0711-06
Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 13% risks 13¢ to win 87¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 12.7% and No at 87.3%, on $354K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$354K in total and $171 in the last 24 hours, with about $25K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?All live marketsMarkets resolving this weekPrediction market scorecard

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.