Resolved market scorecard
Who will replace Marco Rubio as Florida Senator?: result and scorecard
Resolved Ashley Moody. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.1%; a week before, 77.8%. $70.1M traded in total.
Result
Ashley Moody
resolved January 22, 2025
Price 1 day before
99.1%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
77.8%
30 days before: 70.3%
Volume
$70.1M
15 outcomes
SenatePoliticsTrump PresidencyTrump Cabinet
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Ashley Moody | WON |
| Keith Rabois | LOST |
| James Fishback | LOST |
| Lara Trump | LOST |
| Casey Desantis | LOST |
| Jose Oliva | LOST |
| No Replacement | LOST |
| Matt Gaetz | LOST |
| Ron DeSantis | LOST |
| Roy Altman | LOST |
| James Uthmeier | LOST |
| Jeanette Nunez | LOST |
| Person D | LOST |
| Person E | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Ashley MoodyKeith RaboisJames FishbackLara Trump
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This is a market on predicting who will succeed Marco Rubio as the next Senator from Florida.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Who will replace Marco Rubio as Florida Senator?" resolve?
- It resolved Ashley Moody around June 30, 2025.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.1% one day before close, 77.8% one week before and 70.3% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $70.1M across 15 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.