How did "Who will Paddy Pimblett fight next?" resolve?

It resolved Benoît Saint Denis around January 1, 2027.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.0% one day before close, 81.8% one week before and 34.0% one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

Who will Paddy Pimblett fight next?: result and scorecard

Name: Who will Paddy Pimblett fight next? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Benoît Saint Denis. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 97.0%; a week before, 81.8%. $87K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Benoît Saint Denis

resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

97.0%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

81.8%

30 days before: 34.0%

Volume

$87K

21 outcomes

UFC Sports

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Benoît Saint Denis	WON	$32K
Rafael Fiziev	LOST	$18K
Conor McGregor	LOST	$16K
Arman Tsarukyan	LOST	$11K
Dan Hooker	LOST	$6K
Mateusz Gamrot	LOST	$3K
Fighter B	LOST	$0
Fighter C	LOST	$0
Fighter D	LOST	$0
Fighter E	LOST	$0
Fighter F	LOST	$0
Fighter G	LOST	$0
Fighter H	LOST	$0
Fighter I	LOST	$0
Fighter J	LOST	$0
Fighter K	LOST	$0
Fighter L	LOST	$0
Fighter M	LOST	$0
Fighter N	LOST	$0
Fighter O	LOST	$0
Other	LOST	$0

Price history to resolution

Benoît Saint DenisRafael FizievConor McGregorArman Tsarukyan

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 97% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).

Frequently asked questions

How did "Who will Paddy Pimblett fight next?" resolve?: It resolved Benoît Saint Denis around January 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 97.0% one day before close, 81.8% one week before and 34.0% one month before.
How much was traded?: $87K across 21 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.