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Home / Markets / Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?
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Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Sean Strickland at 94.0%, ahead of Khamzat Chimaev at 2.5%. $1.0M traded across 12 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

94.0%
Sean Strickland · Trade →

24h move

+2.6
pts · 7d +0.9

Volume

$1.0M
24h $920 · liquidity $46K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

UFCSportsmma

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Sean Strickland94.0% +2.6+0.9$65K2.2¢
Khamzat Chimaev2.5% +1.6+0.8$99K2.1¢
Nassourdine Imavov0.3% 0.0-1.1$48K0.2¢
Dricus Du Plessis0.1% 0.0+0.1$40K0.2¢
Anthony Hernandez0.1% 0.00.0$74K0.1¢
Brendan Allen0.1% 0.00.0$168K0.1¢
Israel Adesanya0.1% 0.00.0$134K0.1¢
Caio Borralho0.1% 0.00.0$168K0.1¢
Reinier de Ridder0.1% 0.00.0$57K0.1¢
Robert Whittaker0.1% 0.00.0$73K0.1¢
Jared Cannonier0.1% 0.00.0$73K0.1¢
Joe Pyfer0.1% 0.0-0.1$3K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%01-0506-0611-06
Sean StricklandKhamzat ChimaevNassourdine ImavovDricus Du Plessis

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Sean Strickland at 94% risks 94¢ to win 6¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Sean Strickland is the favorite at 94.0%, followed by Khamzat Chimaev at 2.5%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$1.0M in total and $920 in the last 24 hours, with about $46K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.