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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Ciryl Gane at 69.5%, ahead of Josh Hokit at 31.3%. $408K traded across 15 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

69.5%
Ciryl Gane · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d +0.5

Volume

$408K
24h $1K · liquidity $64K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

mmaSportsUFC

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Ciryl Gane69.5% 0.0+0.5$33K3.0¢
Josh Hokit31.3% +0.8-0.7$21K2.4¢
Tom Aspinall0.1% 0.00.0$17K0.1¢
Alexander Volkov0.1% 0.00.0$35K0.1¢
Sergei Pavlovich0.1% 0.00.0$3K0.1¢
Curtis Blaydes0.1% 0.00.0$67K0.1¢
Waldo Cortes Acosta0.1% 0.00.0$48K0.1¢
Jailton Almeida0.1% 0.00.0$5210.1¢
Serghei Spivac0.1% 0.00.0$6010.1¢
Derrick Lewis0.1% 0.00.0$10K0.1¢
Ante Delija0.1% 0.00.0$5840.1¢
Marcin Tybura0.1% 0.00.0$167K0.1¢
Rizvan Kuniev0.1% 0.00.0$4390.1¢
Tyrell Fortune0.1% 0.00.0$3950.1¢
Alex Pereira0.1% 0.0-0.1$4K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:12 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%01-0506-0611-06
Ciryl GaneJosh HokitTom AspinallAlexander Volkov

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Ciryl Gane at 70% risks 70¢ to win 31¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Ciryl Gane is the favorite at 69.5%, followed by Josh Hokit at 31.3%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$408K in total and $1K in the last 24 hours, with about $64K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.