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Home / Markets / What will be said during the Oscars?
Resolved market scorecard

What will be said during the Oscars?: result and scorecard

Resolved White House. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 26.0%; a week before, 26.0%. $47K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

White House
resolved March 16, 2026

Price 1 day before

26.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

26.0%
30 days before: –

Volume

$47K
31 outcomes

CelebritiesCultureOscarsMentionsAwards

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
White HouseWON$7K
PresidentWON$0
NetflixWON$0
LeoWON$0
PalestineWON$0
Will Smith / PunchWON$0
AlienWON$0
AI / Artificial IntelligenceWON$0
Iran / IranianWON$0
MomWON$0
BalletWON$0
OperaWON$0
Chalamet 5+ timesLOST$21K
PolymarketLOST$11K
GreenlandLOST$5K
Dream BigLOST$2K
EpsteinLOST$0
TrumpLOST$0
EllisonLOST$0
UkraineLOST$0
KylieLOST$0
ElonLOST$0
ShameLOST$0
HottestLOST$0
SexLOST$0
PeaceLOST$0
Zionist / ZionismLOST$0
Middle EastLOST$0
Ice Out / Fuck IceLOST$0
Charlie KirkLOST$0
Anthropic / ClaudeLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-0403-1003-16
White HousePresidentNetflixLeo
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 26% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled broadcast of the Oscars on ABC. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such stream is aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the official ABC broadcast of this event.

Frequently asked questions

How did "What will be said during the Oscars?" resolve?
It resolved White House around March 15, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 26.0% one day before close, 26.0% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$47K across 31 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.