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Home / Markets / What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Live market data

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Earbuds/Headphones at 12.0%, ahead of Phone at 9.7%. $473K traded across 10 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

12.0%
Earbuds/Headphones · Trade →

24h move

-0.5
pts · 7d -3.5

Volume

$473K
24h $388 · liquidity $40K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

Techsam altmanBig TechJony IveBusiness

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Earbuds/Headphones12.0% -0.5-3.5$126K2.0¢
Phone9.7% +0.7+2.5$65K7.7¢
Glasses7.5% 0.0-6.5$75K1.0¢
Clip-on device for clothing7.0% -1.5-7.5$28K2.0¢
Watch6.5% 0.0+1.0$45K1.0¢
Tablet4.8% -0.1-1.7$27K0.2¢
Computer (Laptop/Desktop)4.2% 0.0-1.4$46K0.4¢
Ring2.8% 0.0-1.7$17K0.8¢
Necklace2.4% -0.1-1.1$29K0.7¢
Head-mounted display1.6% 0.0-0.3$15K2.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%01-3106-1911-06
Earbuds/HeadphonesPhoneGlassesClip-on device for clothing

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Earbuds/Headphones at 12% risks 12¢ to win 88¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Earbuds/Headphones is the favorite at 12.0%, followed by Phone at 9.7%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$473K in total and $388 in the last 24 hours, with about $40K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.