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Home / Markets / UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?
Resolved market scorecard

UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?: result and scorecard

Resolved Conor McGregor. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 72.0%; a week before, 65.5%. $86K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Conor McGregor
resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

72.0%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

65.5%
30 days before: 36.5%

Volume

$86K
26 outcomes

UFCmmaSportscombats

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
Conor McGregorWON$15K
Dan HookerLOST$34K
Maurício RuffyLOST$22K
Mateusz GamrotLOST$6K
Alexander VolkanovskiLOST$3K
Arman TsarukyanLOST$2K
Justin GaethjeLOST$973
Benoît Saint DenisLOST$853
Ilia TopuriaLOST$853
Paddy PimblettLOST$839
Islam MakhachevLOST$490
Placeholder BLOST$0
Placeholder CLOST$0
Placeholder DLOST$0
Placeholder ELOST$0
Placeholder FLOST$0
Placeholder GLOST$0
Placeholder HLOST$0
Placeholder ILOST$0
Placeholder JLOST$0
Placeholder KLOST$0
Placeholder LLOST$0
Placeholder MLOST$0
Placeholder NLOST$0
Placeholder OLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-0704-1105-17
Conor McGregorDan HookerMaurício RuffyMateusz Gamrot
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 72% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

How did "UFC: Who will Max Holloway fight next?" resolve?
It resolved Conor McGregor around March 1, 2027.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 72.0% one day before close, 65.5% one week before and 36.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$86K across 26 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.