How did "UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?" resolve?

It resolved Max Holloway around March 7, 2027.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.1% one day before close, 76.2% one week before and 50.5% one month before.

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UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?: result and scorecard

Name: UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved Max Holloway. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 83.1%; a week before, 76.2%. $43K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Max Holloway

resolved May 17, 2026

Price 1 day before

83.1%

Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

76.2%

30 days before: 50.5%

Volume

$43K

21 outcomes

UFC combats Sports mma conor mcgregor

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
Max Holloway	WON	$10K
Jorge Masvidal	LOST	$14K
Nate Diaz	LOST	$14K
Michael Chandler	LOST	$4K
Ian Garry	LOST	$654
Fighter A	LOST	$0
Fighter B	LOST	$0
Fighter C	LOST	$0
Fighter D	LOST	$0
Fighter E	LOST	$0
Fighter F	LOST	$0
Fighter G	LOST	$0
Fighter H	LOST	$0
Fighter I	LOST	$0
Fighter J	LOST	$0
Fighter K	LOST	$0
Fighter L	LOST	$0
Fighter M	LOST	$0
Fighter N	LOST	$0
Fighter O	LOST	$0
Other	LOST	$0

Price history to resolution

Max HollowayJorge MasvidalNate DiazMichael Chandler

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 83% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Frequently asked questions

How did "UFC: Who will Conor McGregor fight next?" resolve?: It resolved Max Holloway around March 7, 2027.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 83.1% one day before close, 76.2% one week before and 50.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $43K across 21 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.