Who is favored in "UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?"?

As of November 6, 2026, Paddy Pimblett is the favorite at 58.5%, followed by Fighter B at 50.0%.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on June 17, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$15K in total and $289 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?

Live market data

UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?: live odds and probabilities

Name: UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

The market favorite is Paddy Pimblett at 58.5%, ahead of Fighter B at 50.0%. $15K traded across 9 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

58.5%

Paddy Pimblett · Trade →

24h move

+4.5

pts · 7d +23.0

Volume

$15K

24h $289 · liquidity $3K

Closes

June 17, 2027

223 days left

UFC mma Sports Combat Sports

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Paddy Pimblett	58.5%	+4.5	+23.0	$6K	3.0¢
Fighter B	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Fighter C	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Fighter D	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Fighter E	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Other	50.0%	0.0	0.0	$0	100.0¢
Arman Tsarukyan	22.0%	+0.5	-1.0	$4K	2.0¢
Justin Gaethje	12.5%	-4.5	0.0	$3K	5.0¢
Benoit Saint Denis	8.3%	0.0	+1.6	$2K	3.4¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Paddy Pimblett

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Paddy Pimblett at 59% risks 59¢ to win 42¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?"?: As of November 6, 2026, Paddy Pimblett is the favorite at 58.5%, followed by Fighter B at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on June 17, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $15K in total and $289 in the last 24 hours, with about $3K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.