Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Agbu Kefas at 71.7%, ahead of Candidate A at 50.0%. $9K traded across 31 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
africaNigeriaPoliticsElectionsMain Election
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Agbu Kefas | 71.7% | +0.9 |
| Candidate A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Candidate Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Emmanuel Bwacha | 17.5% | -3.5 |
| Shiddi Usman Danjuma | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Aboki Stephen Bayonga | 4.8% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Taraba, Nigeria Governor Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Agbu Kefas is the favorite at 71.7%, followed by Candidate A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on February 7, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $9K in total and $150 in the last 24 hours, with about $19K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.