Gambia Presidential Election Winner: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is Adama Barrow at 71.5%, ahead of Person A at 50.0%. $15K traded across 34 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
GambiaafricaPoliticsElectionsMain Election
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Adama Barrow | 71.5% | -1.0 |
| Person A | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person B | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person C | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person D | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person E | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person F | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person G | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person H | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person I | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person J | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person K | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person L | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person M | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person N | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person O | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person P | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Q | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person R | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person S | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person T | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person U | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person V | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person W | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person X | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Y | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Person Z | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Other | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Ousainou Darboe | 21.5% | -0.5 |
| Talib Ahmed Bensouda | 6.0% | +1.1 |
| Essa Faal | 3.7% | +1.0 |
| Bakary K. Badjie | 3.4% | -0.9 |
| Mohamed Al Amin Bah | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Mama Kandeh | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:20 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Gambia Presidential Election Winner"?
- As of November 6, 2026, Adama Barrow is the favorite at 71.5%, followed by Person A at 50.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 5, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $15K in total and $148 in the last 24 hours, with about $44K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.