Resolved market scorecard
SpaceX IPO Date: result and scorecard
Resolved June 12. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.2%; a week before, 96.8%. $256K traded in total.
Result
June 12
resolved June 12, 2026
Price 1 day before
98.2%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
96.8%
30 days before: –
Volume
$256K
21 outcomes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| June 12 | WON |
| June 30 or later | LOST |
| June 11 | LOST |
| June 15 | LOST |
| June 8 | LOST |
| June 22 | LOST |
| June 24 | LOST |
| June 25 | LOST |
| June 18 | LOST |
| June 10 | LOST |
| June 5 | LOST |
| June 17 | LOST |
| June 9 | LOST |
| June 16 | LOST |
| June 26 | LOST |
| June 3 | LOST |
| June 29 | LOST |
| June 4 | LOST |
| June 23 | LOST |
| June 2 | LOST |
| June 1 or earlier | LOST |
Price history to resolution
June 12June 30 or laterJune 11June 15
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "SpaceX IPO Date" resolve?
- It resolved June 12 around June 29, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.2% one day before close, 96.8% one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $256K across 21 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.