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Home / Markets / SpaceX Closing Price Up/Down End of July?
Resolved market scorecard

SpaceX Closing Price Up/Down End of July?: result and scorecard

Resolved Down. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 72.5%; a week before, 78.5%. $153 traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Down
resolved August 2, 2026

Price 1 day before

72.5%
Market leaned the right way

Price 7 days before

78.5%
30 days before: 64.5%

Volume

$153
1 outcome

IPOIPOsTechnasaSpaceX

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
DownWON$153
UpLOST$153

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%07-0207-1708-02
DownUp
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 73% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's (SPCX) closing share price on the last trading day of July 2026 is greater than or equal to its closing share price on the last trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.

Frequently asked questions

How did "SpaceX Closing Price Up/Down End of July?" resolve?
It resolved Down around July 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 72.5% one day before close, 78.5% one week before and 64.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$153 across 1 outcome.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.