In which month will Anthropic IPO?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is November 2026 at 58.1%, ahead of December 2026 at 14.1%. $569K traded across 15 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 58.1% | -24.8 |
| December 2026 | 14.1% | +6.7 |
| January 2027 | 9.8% | +4.7 |
| No IPO before 2028 | 3.3% | +1.9 |
| February 2027 | 1.9% | +1.4 |
| June 2027 | 1.8% | +1.5 |
| April 2027 | 1.3% | +0.8 |
| March 2027 | 1.2% | +0.6 |
| May 2027 | 0.7% | +0.4 |
| October 2027 | 0.7% | +0.1 |
| August 2027 | 0.6% | +0.4 |
| September 2027 | 0.6% | +0.4 |
| December 2027 | 0.6% | +0.4 |
| July 2027 | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| November 2027 | 0.5% | +0.4 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "In which month will Anthropic IPO?"?
- As of November 6, 2026, November 2026 is the favorite at 58.1%, followed by December 2026 at 14.1%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2028. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $569K in total and $14K in the last 24 hours, with about $53K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.