Anthropic IPO Date: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is No IPO by November 30, 2026 at 37.0%, ahead of November 17 at 13.5%. $192K traded across 12 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| No IPO by November 30, 2026 | 37.0% | +20.5 |
| November 17 | 13.5% | +7.2 |
| November 20 | 11.0% | -11.5 |
| November 19 | 7.5% | -11.0 |
| November 18 | 6.0% | -5.5 |
| November 24 | 4.3% | -6.8 |
| November 23 | 4.2% | +0.4 |
| November 13 or earlier | 3.1% | +2.1 |
| November 16 | 2.4% | +2.1 |
| November 25 | 1.1% | -3.0 |
| November 30 | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| November 27 | 0.3% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:16 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Anthropic IPO Date"?
- As of November 6, 2026, No IPO by November 30, 2026 is the favorite at 37.0%, followed by November 17 at 13.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 1, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $192K in total and $15K in the last 24 hours, with about $43K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.