Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?: result and scorecard
Resolved February 3. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 22.0%; a week before, –. $1.6M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
putinPoliticsWorldzelenskyyDaily Strikes
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| February 3 | WON |
| February 12 | WON |
| February 5 | LOST |
| February 22 | LOST |
| February 7 | LOST |
| February 1 | LOST |
| February 2 | LOST |
| February 13 | LOST |
| February 17 | LOST |
| February 8 | LOST |
| February 6 | LOST |
| February 4 | LOST |
| February 26 | LOST |
| February 15 | LOST |
| February 16 | LOST |
| February 25 | LOST |
| February 14 | LOST |
| February 23 | LOST |
| February 18 | LOST |
| February 19 | LOST |
| February 21 | LOST |
| March 31 | LOST |
| February 20 | LOST |
| February 10 | LOST |
| February 11 | LOST |
| February 24 | LOST |
| February 9 | LOST |
| February 28 | LOST |
| February 27 | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Armed Forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Kyiv municipality on the listed date Eastern European Time (EET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Russian Armed Forces that impact Kyiv municipality's ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Kyiv municipality counts. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Kyiv municipality's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Russian armed forces will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?" resolve?
- It resolved February 3 around February 28, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 22.0% one day before close, – one week before and – one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.6M across 29 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.