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Live market data

Precipitation in London in November?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is 100mm+ at 24.5%, ahead of 50-60mm at 19.0%. $2K traded across 7 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

24.5%
100mm+ · Trade →

24h move

-11.5
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$2K
24h $240 · liquidity $2K

Closes

February 8, 2027
94 days left

ScienceWeatherRecurringPrecipitation

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
100mm+24.5% -11.50.0$29723.0¢
50-60mm19.0% -13.00.0$22016.0¢
<30mm18.0% 0.00.0$2536.0¢
30-40mm15.0% -1.50.0$2618.0¢
60-75mm15.0% +0.50.0$1886.0¢
40-50mm14.0% -16.50.0$2826.0¢
75-100mm13.5% -2.50.0$1757.0¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:03 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-3011-0211-06
100mm+50-60mm<30mm30-40mm

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in November, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for November 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of November 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying 100mm+ at 25% risks 25¢ to win 76¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Precipitation in London in November?"?
As of November 6, 2026, 100mm+ is the favorite at 24.5%, followed by 50-60mm at 19.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on February 8, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$2K in total and $240 in the last 24 hours, with about $2K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.