October Inflation US - Monthly: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 0.3% at 42.0%, ahead of 0.2% at 31.5%. $42K traded across 9 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CPIUS CPIEconomyInflationRecurring
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3% | 42.0% | +2.0 |
| 0.2% | 31.5% | -3.0 |
| 0.4% | 9.0% | -0.5 |
| ≤0.1% | 6.0% | 0.0 |
| 0.5% | 3.3% | -4.7 |
| 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| ≥0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "October Inflation US - Monthly"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 0.3% is the favorite at 42.0%, followed by 0.2% at 31.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 11, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $42K in total and $366 in the last 24 hours, with about $47K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.