Argentina Monthly Inflation - October: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 1.9 to 2.1% at 41.0%, ahead of 1.6 to 1.8% at 37.0%. $34K traded across 8 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
CPIArgentinaInflationRecurringMacro Indicators
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9 to 2.1% | 41.0% | -5.5 |
| 1.6 to 1.8% | 37.0% | -7.5 |
| 2.2 to 2.4% | 6.0% | -0.3 |
| 1.3 to 1.5% | 3.7% | -0.1 |
| 2.5 to 2.7% | 3.0% | -1.4 |
| 2.8 to 3.0% | 1.9% | -0.4 |
| ≤1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| 3.1%+ | 0.4% | 0.0 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:02 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in October 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026, currently scheduled to be released on November 12, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional". Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Argentina Monthly Inflation - October"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 1.9 to 2.1% is the favorite at 41.0%, followed by 1.6 to 1.8% at 37.0%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on November 12, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $34K in total and $2K in the last 24 hours, with about $23K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.