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Next CEO of NVIDIA?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Candidate T at 50.0%, ahead of Candidate U at 50.0%. $2.2M traded across 107 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-15 10:10 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

50.0%
Candidate T · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$2.2M
24h $328K · liquidity $874K

Closes

January 1, 2029
778 days left

NVDANVIDIACultureBig TechBusiness

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Candidate T50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate U50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate V50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate W50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate X50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Y50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate Z50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AA50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AB50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AC50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AD50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AE50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AF50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AG50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AH50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AI50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AJ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AK50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AL50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AM50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AN50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AO50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AP50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AQ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AR50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AS50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AT50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AU50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AV50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AW50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AX50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AY50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate AZ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BA50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BB50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BC50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BD50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BE50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BF50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BG50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BH50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BI50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BJ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BK50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BL50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BM50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BN50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BO50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BP50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BQ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BR50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BS50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BT50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BU50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BV50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BW50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BX50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BY50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate BZ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CA50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CB50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CC50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CD50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CE50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CF50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CG50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CH50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CI50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CJ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CK50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CL50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CM50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CN50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CO50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CP50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CQ50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CR50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CS50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CT50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CU50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Candidate CV50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Other50.0% 0.00.0$0100.0¢
Rene Haas25.6% -1.70.0$150K0.1¢
Ian Buck22.5% +7.00.0$358K1.0¢
Colette Kress11.8% +0.40.0$322K0.2¢
Jensen Huang (No Change)9.9% +1.50.0$786K0.4¢
Johny Srouji7.0% +0.30.0$56K0.1¢
Charlie Kawwas5.0% 0.00.0$3K2.0¢
Nikesh Arora4.2% +1.30.0$14K0.1¢
Tim Cook2.5% -0.40.0$329K0.6¢
Jay Puri1.8% -0.20.0$27K0.1¢
Lisa Su1.6% -0.50.0$26K0.2¢
Michael Kagan1.6% -0.10.0$24K0.6¢
Chris Malachowsky1.1% +0.30.0$11K0.3¢
Eric Schmidt1.1% +0.10.0$14K0.2¢
Jonah Alben1.1% -0.40.0$9K0.8¢
Madison Huang0.5% 0.00.0$31K0.1¢
Spencer Huang0.5% +0.20.0$12K0.7¢
Nico Caprez0.5% -0.40.0$17K0.3¢
Debora Shoquist0.5% -0.40.0$5K0.4¢
Matt Garman0.4% +0.30.0$6K0.4¢
Thomas Kurian0.4% -0.50.0$7K0.5¢
Nick Parker0.4% +0.20.0$3K0.1¢
Bill Dally0.3% -0.10.0$12K0.1¢
Hock Tan0.3% 0.00.0$4K0.3¢
Pat Gelsinger0.3% -0.10.0$6K0.3¢
Curtis Priem0.1% +0.10.0$4K0.1¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-15 10:10 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

Not enough price history yet for a chart.

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”. The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Candidate T at 50% risks 50¢ to win 50¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Next CEO of NVIDIA?"?
As of November 15, 2026, Candidate T is the favorite at 50.0%, followed by Candidate U at 50.0%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2029. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$2.2M in total and $328K in the last 24 hours, with about $874K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.