Next NVIDIA CEO: internal or external?: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is External at 54.5%, ahead of Internal at 36.5%. $34K traded across 3 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| External | 54.5% | +2.5 |
| Internal | 36.5% | -6.5 |
| No new permanent CEO | 7.1% | -0.2 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-15 09:55 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to whether the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is an internal or external candidate. A candidate is internal if, at the time of the announcement, they are an employee of NVIDIA Corporation or any of its subsidiaries, or a member of its Board of Directors. Any other candidate is external. If co-CEOs are announced, this market will resolve to "External" if any of them is an external candidate. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of NVIDIA. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If, before any successor is announced, NVIDIA officially announces that Jensen Huang will return as CEO on a non-interim basis, or if no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new permanent CEO". The resolution source will be public statements from NVIDIA Corporation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Next NVIDIA CEO: internal or external?"?
- As of November 15, 2026, External is the favorite at 54.5%, followed by Internal at 36.5%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2029. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $34K in total and $3K in the last 24 hours, with about $13K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.