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Resolved market scorecard

Next CEO of Apple?: result and scorecard

Resolved John Ternus. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 36.0%; a week before, 38.5%. $986K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:19 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

John Ternus
resolved April 21, 2026

Price 1 day before

36.0%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

38.5%
30 days before: 45.5%

Volume

$986K
22 outcomes

TechBig TechAppleBusiness

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
John TernusWON$801K
Greg JoswiakLOST$101K
Craig FederighiLOST$56K
Sabih KhanLOST$28K
OtherLOST$0
Person ALOST$0
Person BLOST$0
Person CLOST$0
Person DLOST$0
Person ELOST$0
Person FLOST$0
Person GLOST$0
Person HLOST$0
Person ILOST$0
Person JLOST$0
Person KLOST$0
Person LLOST$0
Person MLOST$0
Person NLOST$0
Person OLOST$0
Person PLOST$0
Person QLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%11-1902-0304-21
John TernusGreg JoswiakCraig FederighiSabih Khan
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 36% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple. Interim CEOs will not qualify. If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Next CEO of Apple?" resolve?
It resolved John Ternus around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 36.0% one day before close, 38.5% one week before and 45.5% one month before.
How much was traded?
$986K across 22 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.