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Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?: live odds and probabilities

The market favorite is Reliance Industries Ltd at 88.0%, ahead of Jio Platforms at 7.2%. $20K traded across 16 outcomes.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Favorite

88.0%
Reliance Industries Ltd · Trade →

24h move

0.0
pts · 7d +1.0

Volume

$20K
24h $157 · liquidity $13K

Closes

January 1, 2027
56 days left

TechIndiaEconomyFinanceBig Tech

All outcomes

OutcomeProbability24h7dVolumeSpread
Reliance Industries Ltd88.0% 0.0+1.0$6K8.0¢
Jio Platforms7.2% +0.1+2.5$2K4.7¢
Infosys Ltd4.2% -0.4-7.8$9768.0¢
State Bank of India3.0% 0.0-0.1$8325.2¢
Axis Bank Ltd2.8% 0.0-7.4$7465.0¢
Bajaj Finance Ltd2.2% 0.0-5.3$7852.8¢
Bharti Airtel Ltd1.8% 0.0-3.9$9352.9¢
Life Insurance Corporation of India1.7% -0.1-2.0$8802.7¢
HDFC Bank Ltd1.6% 0.0-4.5$7912.4¢
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd1.6% 0.0-1.1$7552.4¢
Larsen & Toubro Ltd1.6% 0.0-2.6$6632.4¢
Adani Power Ltd1.4% 0.0-2.9$8132.1¢
Hindustan Unilever Ltd1.1% -0.9-4.1$7421.7¢
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd1.1% 0.0-41.0$9421.8¢
ICICI Bank Ltd0.5% 0.0-2.4$6920.8¢
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd0.4% 0.0-0.1$7930.7¢

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:05 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Price history

0%25%50%75%100%10-0610-2111-06
Reliance Industries LtdJio PlatformsInfosys LtdState Bank of India

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to the largest Indian public company by market cap on December 31, 2026, at 11:59PM ET. In the event that two listed companies merge prior to the resolution date, the merged entity will be considered to be the same company as the acquirer. If there is no clear acquirer, or if the merged entity trades under a new ticker, the merged entity will be considered to be the company that comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange can be found here as of the launch of this market: https://www.bseindia.com/markets/equity/eqreports/topmarketcapitalization

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Reliance Industries Ltd at 88% risks 88¢ to win 12¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favored in "Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?"?
As of November 6, 2026, Reliance Industries Ltd is the favorite at 88.0%, followed by Jio Platforms at 7.2%.
When does this market resolve?
The market is scheduled to close on January 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?
$20K in total and $157 in the last 24 hours, with about $13K of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?
Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.