How did "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" resolve?

It resolved June around December 31, 2026.

What did the market predict?

Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 98.6% one week before and 67.5% one month before.

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Resolved market scorecard

In which month will SpaceX IPO?: result and scorecard

Name: In which month will SpaceX IPO? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Resolved June. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 99.8%; a week before, 98.6%. $566K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

June

resolved June 12, 2026

Price 1 day before

99.8%

Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

98.6%

30 days before: 67.5%

Volume

$566K

12 outcomes

IPOs Finance Business IPO Elon Musk

Final prices by outcome

Outcome	Result	Volume
June	WON	$223K
May	LOST	$101K
March	LOST	$51K
No IPO before 2027	LOST	$40K
April	LOST	$38K
July	LOST	$30K
September	LOST	$19K
August	LOST	$19K
October	LOST	$17K
November	LOST	$16K
December	LOST	$11K
February	LOST	$2K

Price history to resolution

JuneMayMarchNo IPO before 2027

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 100% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.

Frequently asked questions

How did "In which month will SpaceX IPO?" resolve?: It resolved June around December 31, 2026.
What did the market predict?: Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 99.8% one day before close, 98.6% one week before and 67.5% one month before.
How much was traded?: $566K across 12 outcomes.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.