What are the odds that Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?

As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 6.3% and No at 93.7%, on $4K of total volume.

When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to close on February 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.

How much has been traded?

$4K in total and $140 in the last 24 hours, with about $760 of resting liquidity.

Can I trade this market?

Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

Home / Markets / Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?

Live market data

Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?: live odds and probabilities

Name: Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31? prediction market prices
Creator: BetG8

Polymarket traders currently price Yes at 6.3% (+0.5 pts in 24h). $4K has traded on this market.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Yes probability

6.3%

No 93.7% · Trade →

24h move

+0.5

pts · 7d 0.0

Volume

$4K

24h $140 · liquidity $760

Closes

February 1, 2027

87 days left

Courts indict Politics US Politics Dan Sullivan

All outcomes

Outcome	Probability	24h	7d	Volume	Spread
Yes	6.3%	+0.5	0.0	$4K	6.4¢
No	93.7%	-0.5	0.0	$4K	–

Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 02:18 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.

Price history

Yes

Market rules and resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Alaska Senate candidate Daniel J. Sullivan between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read this market

Each share pays $1 if its outcome happens. Buying Yes at 6% risks 6¢ to win 94¢. Prices move with news and order flow, and thin markets can swing on small trades, so check volume and spread before treating a number as the crowd's view. See our guides to implied probability and how markets resolve.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds that Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?: As of November 6, 2026, Polymarket prices Yes at 6.3% and No at 93.7%, on $4K of total volume.
When does this market resolve?: The market is scheduled to close on February 1, 2027. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
How much has been traded?: $4K in total and $140 in the last 24 hours, with about $760 of resting liquidity.
Can I trade this market?: Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.

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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.