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Home / Markets / Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
Resolved market scorecard

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM): result and scorecard

Resolved 0.0 to 0.1%. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 35.5%; a week before, 33.5%. $45K traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

0.0 to 0.1%
resolved October 30, 2026

Price 1 day before

35.5%
Market leaned the wrong way

Price 7 days before

33.5%
30 days before: –

Volume

$45K
6 outcomes

GDPCanadaEconomyRecurringMacro Indicators

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
0.0 to 0.1%WON$18K
0.2 to 0.3%LOST$13K
0.4 to 0.5%LOST$9K
<-0.2%LOST$2K
0.6%+LOST$2K
-0.2 to -0.1%LOST$1K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%10-0110-1510-30
0.0 to 0.1%0.2 to 0.3%0.4 to 0.5%<-0.2%
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 36% the day before is getting it wrong in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)" resolve?
It resolved 0.0 to 0.1% around October 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 35.5% one day before close, 33.5% one week before and – one month before.
How much was traded?
$45K across 6 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.