LIVE Hyperliquid whale tracker: the largest open positions and what they are doing, updated every few minutes →
Home / Markets / Bank of Japan Decision in April?
Resolved market scorecard

Bank of Japan Decision in April?: result and scorecard

Resolved No change. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.0%; a week before, 96.0%. $1.4M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:01 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

No change
resolved April 28, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.0%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

96.0%
30 days before: 27.0%

Volume

$1.4M
4 outcomes

JapanWorldGlobal RatesEconomic PolicyEconomy

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
No changeWON$385K
50+ bps increaseLOST$485K
Decrease ratesLOST$289K
25 bps increaseLOST$259K

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%01-2403-1204-28
No change50+ bps increaseDecrease rates25 bps increase
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Frequently asked questions

How did "Bank of Japan Decision in April?" resolve?
It resolved No change around April 28, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.0% one day before close, 96.0% one week before and 27.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$1.4M across 4 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.