Bank of Japan Decision in April?: result and scorecard
Resolved No change. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.0%; a week before, 96.0%. $1.4M traded in total.
Result
Price 1 day before
Price 7 days before
Volume
JapanWorldGlobal RatesEconomic PolicyEconomy
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| No change | WON |
| 50+ bps increase | LOST |
| Decrease rates | LOST |
| 25 bps increase | LOST |
Price history to resolution
Scorecard
Resolution rules
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "Bank of Japan Decision in April?" resolve?
- It resolved No change around April 28, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.0% one day before close, 96.0% one week before and 27.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.4M across 4 outcomes.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.