Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026: live odds and probabilities
The market favorite is 55,000-60,000 at 48.0%, ahead of 65,000-70,000 at 16.7%. $33K traded across 8 outcomes.
Favorite
24h move
Volume
Closes
All outcomes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| 55,000-60,000 | 48.0% | +38.5 |
| 65,000-70,000 | 16.7% | -3.0 |
| <55,000 | 13.7% | -0.1 |
| 60,000-65,000 | 12.1% | 0.0 |
| 75,000-80,000 | 6.2% | 0.0 |
| 70,000-75,000 | 5.0% | -14.5 |
| 85,000+ | 4.0% | -2.4 |
| 80,000-85,000 | 3.4% | -2.7 |
Prices are the Polymarket mid or last trade at 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC. A price of 64¢ implies roughly a 64% chance. Prices include spread and are not forecasts by BetG8.
Price history
Market rules and resolution
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
How to read this market
Frequently asked questions
- Who is favored in "Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026"?
- As of November 6, 2026, 55,000-60,000 is the favorite at 48.0%, followed by 65,000-70,000 at 16.7%.
- When does this market resolve?
- The market is scheduled to close on December 31, 2026. It resolves under Polymarket's rules once the outcome is known, which can be earlier or later than the listed date.
- How much has been traded?
- $33K in total and $976 in the last 24 hours, with about $23K of resting liquidity.
- Can I trade this market?
- Polymarket restricts access by location; the US version (Polymarket US) and the offshore site have different rules and fee schedules. Check availability in your jurisdiction. BetG8 earns a referral fee from the Polymtrade links on this page.
Related on BetG8
Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.