Resolved market scorecard
3rd largest company end of April?: result and scorecard
Resolved Apple. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.9%; a week before, 74.0%. $1.1M traded in total.
Result
Apple
resolved April 30, 2026
Price 1 day before
98.9%
Market was confident and right
Price 7 days before
74.0%
30 days before: 22.0%
Volume
$1.1M
29 outcomes
FinanceBusinessEconomyTechBig Tech
Final prices by outcome
| Outcome | Result |
|---|---|
| Apple | WON |
| NVIDIA | LOST |
| Alphabet | LOST |
| Microsoft | LOST |
| Oracle | LOST |
| Saudi Aramco | LOST |
| Tesla | LOST |
| Amazon | LOST |
| Company A | LOST |
| Company B | LOST |
| Company C | LOST |
| Company D | LOST |
| Company E | LOST |
| Company F | LOST |
| Company G | LOST |
| Company H | LOST |
| Company I | LOST |
| Company J | LOST |
| Company K | LOST |
| Company L | LOST |
| Company M | LOST |
| Company N | LOST |
| Company O | LOST |
| Company P | LOST |
| Company Q | LOST |
| Company R | LOST |
| Company S | LOST |
| Company T | LOST |
| Other | LOST |
Price history to resolution
AppleNVIDIAAlphabetMicrosoft
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.
Scorecard
A market that prices the eventual outcome at 99% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
- How did "3rd largest company end of April?" resolve?
- It resolved Apple around April 30, 2026.
- What did the market predict?
- Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.9% one day before close, 74.0% one week before and 22.0% one month before.
- How much was traded?
- $1.1M across 29 outcomes.
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Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.