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Resolved market scorecard

2nd largest company end of April?: result and scorecard

Resolved Alphabet. One day before close Polymarket priced that outcome at 98.2%; a week before, 77.5%. $2.0M traded in total.

Updated 2026-11-06 03:04 UTC · Source: Polymarket · 18+ · Market prices, not predictions or advice

Result

Alphabet
resolved April 30, 2026

Price 1 day before

98.2%
Market was confident and right

Price 7 days before

77.5%
30 days before: 21.0%

Volume

$2.0M
28 outcomes

BusinessTechFinanceEconomyMonthly

Final prices by outcome

OutcomeResultVolume
AlphabetWON$275K
NVIDIALOST$831K
MicrosoftLOST$282K
AppleLOST$218K
TeslaLOST$135K
AmazonLOST$126K
Saudi AramcoLOST$122K
Company ALOST$0
Company BLOST$0
Company CLOST$0
Company DLOST$0
Company ELOST$0
Company FLOST$0
Company GLOST$0
Company HLOST$0
Company ILOST$0
Company JLOST$0
Company KLOST$0
Company LLOST$0
Company MLOST$0
Company NLOST$0
Company OLOST$0
Company PLOST$0
Company QLOST$0
Company RLOST$0
Company SLOST$0
Company TLOST$0
OtherLOST$0

Price history to resolution

0%25%50%75%100%03-2104-1004-30
AlphabetNVIDIAMicrosoftApple
📱 Compare how the same event is priced across venues on Polymtrade.Referral link. 18+.

Scorecard

A market that prices the eventual outcome at 98% the day before is getting it right in the simplest sense, but a single market says little about calibration. Across many markets, outcomes priced at 70% should happen about 70% of the time. See the monthly scorecard for the aggregate record.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

How did "2nd largest company end of April?" resolve?
It resolved Alphabet around April 30, 2026.
What did the market predict?
Polymarket priced the winning outcome at 98.2% one day before close, 77.5% one week before and 21.0% one month before.
How much was traded?
$2.0M across 28 outcomes.

Related on BetG8

Data: Polymarket Gamma and CLOB APIs, fetched by BetG8 at the time shown above. Venues may restrict access by location. 18+ only.